JAI RADHE . SCIENTISTS
ARE READY ALL THE WAY TO PROVE THAT THERE IS NO SOUL AND NO GOD . NOW
LETS TRY TO UNDERSTAND THROUGH THE EYE OF CALCULATION IF SCIENCE CAN BE
ABLE TO PROVE THE CHANCE THEORY OF THIS UNIVERSE .
TO GIVE SOME IDEA OF WHAT EXACTLY IS INVOLVED IN SUPPOSING THAT LIFE COULD HAVE EMERGED BY RANDOM COMBINATION OF CHEMICALS IN A PRIMORDIAL SOUP . LET US IMAGINE THAT THIS SOUP IS COVERED THE ENTIRE SURFACE OF THE EARTH TO A DEPTH OF ONE MILE. WE SHALL DIVIDE THIS VOLUME INTO TINY CUBES MEASURING ONE ANGSTROM UNTIL ON EACH SIDE . ( AN ANGSTROM UNIT IS ABOUT THE SIZE OF A SINGLE HYDROGEN ATOM) . LET'S ALSO ASSUME THAT THE SOUP IS EXTREMELY CONCENTRATED , SO THAT REACTIONS ARE TAKING PLACE WITH IN EACH OF THE CUBES WITH IN THE SOUP . NOW , IN THE EXPECTATION OF OBTAINING THE SIMPLEST POSSIBLE SELF- REPRODUCING ORGANISM, LET THE REACTIONS TAKE PLACE A BILLION TIMES PER SECOND IN EACH CUBE . AND LETS FURTHER ASSUME THAT THE REACTIONS HAVE BEEN GOING ON FOR 4.5 BILLION YEARS , THE ESTIMATED AGE OF THE EARTH . AS WE HAVE SEEN THE ACCOMPANYING ARTICLE , SCIENTISTS FRED HOYLE AND CANDRA WICKRAMASINGHE HAVE ESTIMATED THAT THE CHANCE OF OBTAINING THE SIMPLEST SELF REPRODUCING SYSTEM BY RANDOM COMBINATION OF MOLECULES IS AT BEST SOMEWHERE IN THE NEIGHBOUR HOOD OF 1 IN TEN TO THE POWER 40000 ATTEMPTS . BUT IF OUT OF EXTREME GENEROSITY WE REDUCE THE REQUIRED NUMBER OF PROTEINS FROM 2000 TO ONLY 100 . THEN THE PROBABILITY IS STILL ONE IN TEN TO THE POWER 2000 .
NOW IF WE ADD UP ALL THE POSSIBLE ATTEMPTED BILLION PER SECOND COMBINATIONS IN OUR HYPOTHETICAL PRIMORDIAL SOUP , YOU WIND UP WITH ONLY TEN TO THE POWER 74 THROWS OF THE CHEMICAL DICE. THAT MEANS THE ODDS OF GETTING THE REQUIRED SELF REPRODUCING SYSTEM OUT OF OUR SOUP WOULD BE ONE IN TEN TO THE POWER 1926 . WE COULDN'T EXPECT THAT TO HAPPEN IN THE ENTIRE COURSE OF EARTHS HISTORY!
OF COURSE , A DIE HARD GAMBLE MIGHT SAY ITS HIGHLY UNLIKELY BUT JUST COULD HAPPEN BY CHANCE . BUT THIS IS A COMPLETELY MEANINGLESS USE OF THE WORD CHANCE. IN ORDER FOR A STATEMENT ABOUT AN EVENT WITH NONZERO PROBABILITY OF HAPPENING TO BE MEANINGFUL. WE WOULD HAVE TO OBSERVE ENOUGH REPETITIONS OF THE EVENT TO ESTABLISH A STATISTICAL PATTERN. ONLY THIS WOULD ALLOW US TO SAY, "THIS EVENT HAS PROBABILITY OF HAPPENING " . FOR EXAMPLE , WE SAY THAT WHEN WE TOSS A COIN THERE IS ONE CHANCE IN TWO THAT IT WILL TURN UP HEADS, THIS PROBABILITY IS ESTABLISHED BY EXAMINING THE BEHAVIOUR OF THE COIN OVER SEVERAL HUNDRED TRIALS, NOW IF YOU HAVE AN EVENT WITH A PROBABILITY OF ONE IN A MILLION , IT WOULD TAKE HUNDREDS OF MILLIONS OF TRIAL TO ESTABLISH THIS. AND IF THE EVENT HAS AN ESTIMATED PROBABILITY OF ONE IN TEN TO THE POWER 2000 , YOU WOULD NEED MANY TIMES THE NUMBER OF TRIALS, THE BASIC POINT IS THIS : WHAT IS MEANT BY A PROBABILITY OF ONE OUT OF TEN TO THE POWER 2000 IS THAT A CERTAIN STATISTICAL PATTERN CORRESPONDING TO THE FIGURE WILL BE OBSERVED OVER THE REQUIRED VAST NUMBER OF TRIALS, IF THERE IS NO POSSIBILITY OF PERFORMING THESE TRIALS (AS IS CERTAINLY THE CASE HERE) , THEN THERE IS NO MEANING TO SAYING AN EVENT HAPPENS WITH THAT VERY SMALL PROBABILITY. ON THIS PLANET, AS WE HAVE SEEN , YOU CAN ONLY HAVE A MAXIMUM OF TEN TO THE POWER 74 TRIALS, NOW , WE CAN BE EXTREMELY GENEROUS AND GRANT THE CHEMICAL EVOLUTIONISTS THAT THE TRIALS CAN BE TAKING PLACE IN PRIMORDIAL SOUPS ON AS MANY PLANETS AS THERE ARE ATOMS IN ENTIRE UNIVERSE ABOUT TEN TO THE POWER 80 . THEN YOU GET A GRAND TOTAL OF 10 TO THE POWER 154 TRIALS - STILL AN INFINITESIMAL NUMBER COMPARED TO 10 TO THE POWER 2000 . THE CONCLUSION IS SIMPLE. IT IS MEANINGLESS TO TALK ABOUT THE ORIGIN OF LIFE IN TERMS OF CHANCE . TO SAY IT HAPPENED BY CHANCE IS JUST SAME AS SAYING IT HAPPENED AND WE ALREADY KNOW THAT . IN THAT CASE , ALL WE CAN SAY IS THAT LIFE IS A UNIQUE EVENT ..............
JAI RADHE .. DO READ AND KNOW YOUR SCIENCE , AND BELIEVE YOUR KRISHNA ANE BECOME KNOW ER OF EVERYTHING .......
COULD LIFE ARISE BY CHANCE ?
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TO GIVE SOME IDEA OF WHAT EXACTLY IS INVOLVED IN SUPPOSING THAT LIFE COULD HAVE EMERGED BY RANDOM COMBINATION OF CHEMICALS IN A PRIMORDIAL SOUP . LET US IMAGINE THAT THIS SOUP IS COVERED THE ENTIRE SURFACE OF THE EARTH TO A DEPTH OF ONE MILE. WE SHALL DIVIDE THIS VOLUME INTO TINY CUBES MEASURING ONE ANGSTROM UNTIL ON EACH SIDE . ( AN ANGSTROM UNIT IS ABOUT THE SIZE OF A SINGLE HYDROGEN ATOM) . LET'S ALSO ASSUME THAT THE SOUP IS EXTREMELY CONCENTRATED , SO THAT REACTIONS ARE TAKING PLACE WITH IN EACH OF THE CUBES WITH IN THE SOUP . NOW , IN THE EXPECTATION OF OBTAINING THE SIMPLEST POSSIBLE SELF- REPRODUCING ORGANISM, LET THE REACTIONS TAKE PLACE A BILLION TIMES PER SECOND IN EACH CUBE . AND LETS FURTHER ASSUME THAT THE REACTIONS HAVE BEEN GOING ON FOR 4.5 BILLION YEARS , THE ESTIMATED AGE OF THE EARTH . AS WE HAVE SEEN THE ACCOMPANYING ARTICLE , SCIENTISTS FRED HOYLE AND CANDRA WICKRAMASINGHE HAVE ESTIMATED THAT THE CHANCE OF OBTAINING THE SIMPLEST SELF REPRODUCING SYSTEM BY RANDOM COMBINATION OF MOLECULES IS AT BEST SOMEWHERE IN THE NEIGHBOUR HOOD OF 1 IN TEN TO THE POWER 40000 ATTEMPTS . BUT IF OUT OF EXTREME GENEROSITY WE REDUCE THE REQUIRED NUMBER OF PROTEINS FROM 2000 TO ONLY 100 . THEN THE PROBABILITY IS STILL ONE IN TEN TO THE POWER 2000 .
NOW IF WE ADD UP ALL THE POSSIBLE ATTEMPTED BILLION PER SECOND COMBINATIONS IN OUR HYPOTHETICAL PRIMORDIAL SOUP , YOU WIND UP WITH ONLY TEN TO THE POWER 74 THROWS OF THE CHEMICAL DICE. THAT MEANS THE ODDS OF GETTING THE REQUIRED SELF REPRODUCING SYSTEM OUT OF OUR SOUP WOULD BE ONE IN TEN TO THE POWER 1926 . WE COULDN'T EXPECT THAT TO HAPPEN IN THE ENTIRE COURSE OF EARTHS HISTORY!
OF COURSE , A DIE HARD GAMBLE MIGHT SAY ITS HIGHLY UNLIKELY BUT JUST COULD HAPPEN BY CHANCE . BUT THIS IS A COMPLETELY MEANINGLESS USE OF THE WORD CHANCE. IN ORDER FOR A STATEMENT ABOUT AN EVENT WITH NONZERO PROBABILITY OF HAPPENING TO BE MEANINGFUL. WE WOULD HAVE TO OBSERVE ENOUGH REPETITIONS OF THE EVENT TO ESTABLISH A STATISTICAL PATTERN. ONLY THIS WOULD ALLOW US TO SAY, "THIS EVENT HAS PROBABILITY OF HAPPENING " . FOR EXAMPLE , WE SAY THAT WHEN WE TOSS A COIN THERE IS ONE CHANCE IN TWO THAT IT WILL TURN UP HEADS, THIS PROBABILITY IS ESTABLISHED BY EXAMINING THE BEHAVIOUR OF THE COIN OVER SEVERAL HUNDRED TRIALS, NOW IF YOU HAVE AN EVENT WITH A PROBABILITY OF ONE IN A MILLION , IT WOULD TAKE HUNDREDS OF MILLIONS OF TRIAL TO ESTABLISH THIS. AND IF THE EVENT HAS AN ESTIMATED PROBABILITY OF ONE IN TEN TO THE POWER 2000 , YOU WOULD NEED MANY TIMES THE NUMBER OF TRIALS, THE BASIC POINT IS THIS : WHAT IS MEANT BY A PROBABILITY OF ONE OUT OF TEN TO THE POWER 2000 IS THAT A CERTAIN STATISTICAL PATTERN CORRESPONDING TO THE FIGURE WILL BE OBSERVED OVER THE REQUIRED VAST NUMBER OF TRIALS, IF THERE IS NO POSSIBILITY OF PERFORMING THESE TRIALS (AS IS CERTAINLY THE CASE HERE) , THEN THERE IS NO MEANING TO SAYING AN EVENT HAPPENS WITH THAT VERY SMALL PROBABILITY. ON THIS PLANET, AS WE HAVE SEEN , YOU CAN ONLY HAVE A MAXIMUM OF TEN TO THE POWER 74 TRIALS, NOW , WE CAN BE EXTREMELY GENEROUS AND GRANT THE CHEMICAL EVOLUTIONISTS THAT THE TRIALS CAN BE TAKING PLACE IN PRIMORDIAL SOUPS ON AS MANY PLANETS AS THERE ARE ATOMS IN ENTIRE UNIVERSE ABOUT TEN TO THE POWER 80 . THEN YOU GET A GRAND TOTAL OF 10 TO THE POWER 154 TRIALS - STILL AN INFINITESIMAL NUMBER COMPARED TO 10 TO THE POWER 2000 . THE CONCLUSION IS SIMPLE. IT IS MEANINGLESS TO TALK ABOUT THE ORIGIN OF LIFE IN TERMS OF CHANCE . TO SAY IT HAPPENED BY CHANCE IS JUST SAME AS SAYING IT HAPPENED AND WE ALREADY KNOW THAT . IN THAT CASE , ALL WE CAN SAY IS THAT LIFE IS A UNIQUE EVENT ..............
JAI RADHE .. DO READ AND KNOW YOUR SCIENCE , AND BELIEVE YOUR KRISHNA ANE BECOME KNOW ER OF EVERYTHING .......
